Recent Articles

Weekly Summary Analysis, Jan. 22/23

Jan. 22, 2023

Jan. 22, 2023 Weekly Summary  Analysis The net-transfers continue to be positive. The seasonal credit pullback will weaken the SPX in the ...

Jan. 8/23 Weekly Summary Analysis

Jan. 8, 2023

Weekly Summary  Analysis     The 2011 pattern, where the SPX dropped while the corporate earnings continued to grow, is repeat...

Hello 2023

Jan. 2, 2023

Update: Hello 2023   When the 6-month rate and the SPX yield rise together, the SPX suffers at first (black), but then spends years in a bu...

Weekly Summary Analysis: Consolidated Version

Nov. 28, 2020

This is a consolidated (holiday) version of the weekly summary analysis. The last time the AAII bull sentiment spiked above 50% was in January of...

Panic-Level Fear + Economic Expansion = More Bull To Come

Dec. 23, 2018

  We have been pounding the table (lately, with our foreheads) for some time now about the fact that fear-of-losing and of-missing-out drives ...

The Primary Trend is Still Bullish

Dec. 16, 2018

  The phenomenon known as the ‘market’, emerges from what is both a complex and chaotic system: Complex because of the innumerable...